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Comehither.com:
Why the debt-ridden New Media throw so much good money at the Old.
New York Times Magazine
November 21, 1999 p. 52-53
Max Frankel
So how come my television screen and newspapers are filling up with come-ons
for dot-coms? Besides cars and telephones, the ads on "Ally McBeal"
are pushing eToys.com and petstore.com and drugstore.com. Dot-coms flash on
my screen between murders and disasters on the 11 o’clock news. Ads
in The Times shout Yahoo and Excite and eBay and E*Trade and ask me to think
AltaVista every time I dream of Michelangelo’s ceiling.
Quit remarkably, it seems the New Media have suddenly decided to enrich the
Old. Or, if you prefer irony in your paradox, are greedily wolfing down the
poison that will hasten their destruction by the New.
Paradoxically, too, most of the dot-com companies still lose money on every
sale, which means that the more successful their ads, the greater their losses.
Indeed, they are bidding up the cost of commercials in what could turn out
to be a giant Ponzi game: they are spending huge sums obtained from venture
capitalists and stock-market gamblers on ads that can only increase their
so-far unprofitable business and deficits. And they can only hope that the
added traffic will cause investors to send them still more money.
That Peter-to-pay-Paul rondo is only one reason to wonder precisely what business
the dot-coms are in. Mainly, even the best-known, like Amazon, Yahoo or America
Online, are looking to tattoo their names on the minds of surfers while they
evolve every season into a new enterprise.
For example, Yahoo and AltaVista began life as sophisticated "search
engines," which quickly scour the Web to produce an index of documents
answering your questions. Ask about Shakespeare's sonnets or sourdough bread,
and they can instantly cough up texts, recipes and relevant commentaries.
Instead of charging a fee, the search engines thought they could get rich
from ads posted alongside their findings. But the appearance of many competitors
(Hotbot, Excite, Google, et al.) soon ruined their prospects.
A further challenge was posed by the success of America Online, with its colorful
array of public and proprietary goods and services. It became popular by also
providing e-mail, chat rooms, bridge games and live reports on the price of
stocks or airline seats. And once it, too, made itself into a search engine,
AOL became an all-purpose Web gateway, a network of networks financed not
just by advertising bur also by a flat monthly fee from millions of subscribers.
That was only the beginning of the Web's evolution. Other gateways soon appeared
and charged less than AOL. And searchers like Yahoo became gateways for no
charge at all. Almost all these "portals" now offer news, e-mail
and a cascade of services like tax advice, movie schedules, bill paying, games,
clubs, calendars, football scores. For income, they look not to fees or even
ads but to the growth of dot-com commerce -- their sales of goods and commissions
for sending customers to other merchants.
Imagine a future, then, in which virtually every Web site is linked to every
other. Read a news or feature story about a lovely resort and with a few clicks
of a button you can locate a suitable airline schedule, order the rickets,
choose a car rental and hotel, reserve golf time and restaurant tables and
maybe also order babysitters, guidebooks and the appropriate wardrobe.
What AOL and the other gateways currently long to become is your port of entry
to this vast commercial net. Some dot-coms may be content to sell a single
line of goods or services -- videos, tulip bulbs, lipsticks or banking and
bill paying. Some may grow like Amazon.com, which is fast becoming a department
store offering not only books but also electronics and computers, CD's and
videos, toys and drugs. And like Amazon, they may also compete with eBay,
which brokers auction sales of both gems and junk among its customers.
Once enmeshed in the Web, every dot-com will relate to every other. Merchants
find it useful to post complementary news and advice. And companies offering
news and advice grow eager to link themselves to the sellers of goods and
services. E*Trade.com, for example, began life as a stock marker charging
only small commissions. But it soon added headline news about the economy,
business articles and discussion groups, a bookstore and shopping service
and most recently a one-button connection to a full-service telebank. Similarly,
The New York Times and other newsmongers will lure you with reading matter
but hope to pay for it by directing you not only to ads but also to purchases
inspired by your reading.
Potentially, every site on the Web can be a portal to all other sites, just
as in the air age every American city can be a gateway to our country. The
ultimate competition among the dot-coms will be for a place in the subconscious
of every Web user. But while the Web stores must build warehouses and employ
order fillers, the grandest portals will exist only virtually and collect
from you every time you pass Go. Think of stocks and you may begin your Web
journey on E*Trade. Think of news and we hope you'll reach for Nytimes.com,
for The Times and most other publications also expect to be Net portals for
communities of like-minded readers whom they can sell to Web advertisers and
merchants.
So even in these primitive stages of Web commerce, the struggle for name recognition
has grown fierce. A few name-brand dot-coms are hoping to end up with outsize
reputations as Net ports, attaining the stature that actual ports like New
York, London and Hong Kong achieved as centers of commerce. Since every Web
site can blossom into a great portal, the richer ones are throwing all their
resources into ads that might distinguish them from the pack. They want to
be famous in the old world even before they are well defined in the new.
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